These data were produced to investigate how the risk of JEV across Australia may change under future climate change projections. Data includes projections of JEV presence probabilities based on the presence probability of three Culex species and
12 waterbird species or feral pigs. on an approx. 5km*5km grid for mainland Australia. Projections were made for three time periods (2025, 2050 and 2090), two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5, RCP8.5) and eight climate change models using data from the Climate Change in Australia project. Data are provided as raster files in the geoTIFF format. Analysis were produced as part of the Australian Climate Services; Air Quality and Communicable Diseases technical report.
The collection is divided into three folders:
JEV individual changes: Contains geoTiffs for the change in JEV relative presence probability between 2050 and 2025 or 2090 and 2025 for each of 8 climate models under two RCPs. Files are name as jev_risk_ACS__2025_diff.tiff
JEV summarized changes: Contains geoTiffs for the median, lower (10th percentile) and upper (90th percentile) change in JEV relative presence probability between 2050 and 2025 or 2090 and 2025, across the 8 climate models under two RCPs. Files are name as jev_risk_ACS2025_proj_diff_extra.tif, where statistic is one of upper, med and lower.
JEV summarized changes: Contains geoTiffs for the median, lower (10th percentile) and upper (90th percentile) change in JEV relative presence probability between 2050 and 2025 or 2090 and 2025, across the 8 climate models under two RCPs. Files are name as jev_risk_ACS_2025_proj_diff_extra.tif, where statistic is one of upper, med and lower.
JEV summarized projections: Contains geoTiffs for the median, lower (10th percentile) and upper (90th percentile) projections of JEV relative presence probability for each period (2025,2050,2090), for each of the 8 climate models under two RCPs. Files are name as jev_risk_ACS__proj.tif, where statistic is one of upper, med and lower.
