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Travel Forecasts

Created 06/05/2025

Updated 06/05/2025

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The Transport Performance and Analytics (TPA) produces travel forecasts using the Strategic Travel Model (STM). This model is a world class tool that projects travel patterns in the Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area under different land use, transport and pricing scenarios. It can be used to test alternative settlement, employment and transport policies, to identify likely future capacity constraints, or to determine potential usage levels of proposed new transport infrastructure or services. The STM is built largely in the EMME transport modelling software. It is comprised of a series of models and processes that attempt to replicate, in a simplified manner, people’s travel choices and behaviour under a given scenario. The STM combines our understanding of travel behaviour with likely population and employment size and distribution, and likely road and public transport networks and services to estimate future travel under different strategic land use and transport scenarios. The STM produces travel forecasts by origin (2,690) and destination (2,690) STM zones for:

The Sydney Greater Metropolitan Area which includes the Sydney Statistical Division, Newcastle Statistical Subdivision and Illawarra Statistical Division.

5 yearly intervals from the latest Census year up to a 35-year horizon

9 travel modes: Car driver, Car passenger, Rail, Bus, Light rail, Ferry, Bike, Walk and Taxi

7 purposes: Work, Business, Primary/Secondary/Tertiary education, Shopping, Other

24 hour, average workday (Monday to Friday excluding public holidays)

am/pm peak, interpeak and evening travel

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Additional Info

Field Value
Title Travel Forecasts
Language English
Licence Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia
Landing Page https://devweb.dga.links.com.au/data/dataset/ba0ce484-fdd6-4b78-b92f-115809f356c9
Remote Last Updated 07/02/2019
Contact Point
Reference Period 08/02/2019
Geospatial Coverage New South Wales (NSW81093)
Data Portal data.gov.au

Data Source

This dataset was originally found on DataNSW "Travel Forecasts". Please visit the source to access the original metadata of the dataset:
https://data.nsw.gov.au/data/dataset/travel-forecasts

Original dataset

  • Travel Forecasts

    Transport for NSW

    The Transport Performance and Analytics (TPA) produces travel forecasts using the Strategic Travel Model (STM). This model is a world class tool that projects travel patterns in...

    Dataset updated: 06/05/2025

Dataset copies

No duplicate datasets found.